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How many copies did Song of Iron sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$67k–$181k after Steam's cut $122k–$279k before Steam's cut
from 494 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Song of Iron and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Song of Iron's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–28k
best case 168k (Nocturnal)
Games like Song of Iron

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–28k copies

≈ $56k–$113k after Steam's cut

from ~659 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nocturnal at ≈ 128k–208k copies, ≈ $599k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 225 reviews in their first month; the range was 72 to 418.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Side Scroller + Action-Adventure, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Linear + Narration + Hand-drawn; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Happyhills Homicide 2: Out For Blood
2025
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
$2.99
774 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SingleplayerAction
AWAKEN - Astral Blade
2024
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$172k–$463k after Steam's cut $313k–$712k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Dark Fantasy2D
Catmaze
2018
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$51k–$136k after Steam's cut $92k–$209k before Steam's cut
$9.99
606 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerExploration
Creepy Tale: Some Other Place
2024
Est. copies
≈ 16k–27k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$45k–$121k after Steam's cut $82k–$186k before Steam's cut
$9.99
659 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
One Dog Story
2017
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $106k–$241k before Steam's cut
$11.99
513 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionIndie
Teleportals. I swear it's a nice game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$0.99
321 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Nuclear Blaze
2021
Est. copies
≈ 24k–38k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$65k–$174k after Steam's cut $117k–$267k before Steam's cut
$9.99
948 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerAtmospheric
Nocturnal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 128k–208k
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$599k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerAction-Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.