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How many copies did Christmas Massacre sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–45k
$61k–$163k after Steam's cut $110k–$251k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Christmas Massacre and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Christmas Massacre's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 27k–97k
best case 242k (Friday the 13th: Killer Puzzle)
Games like Christmas Massacre

A typical game among these

≈ 27k–97k copies

≈ $111k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Friday the 13th: Killer Puzzle at ≈ 185k–300k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 347 reviews in their first month; the range was 116 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Gore (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Horror.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Killer Klowns From Outer Space: The Game
2024
Est. copies
≈ 96k–156k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
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MultiplayerHorror
FATAL FRAME / PROJECT ZERO: Mask of the Lunar Eclipse
2023
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$676k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
Murder House
2020
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$192k–$516k after Steam's cut $349k–$793k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Horror1980s
Friday the 13th: Killer Puzzle
2018
Est. copies
≈ 185k–300k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayPuzzle
CAYNE
2017
Est. copies
≈ 66k–108k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAdventure
Cannibal Abduction
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
$4.99
372 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorRetro
Night At the Gates of Hell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$73k–$197k after Steam's cut $133k–$303k before Steam's cut
$11.99
895 reviews
Very Positive
Survival HorrorZombies
Sniper Killer
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$231k before Steam's cut
$11.99
682 reviews
Very Positive
IndieHorror

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.