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How big is CAYNE?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 66k–108k
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CAYNE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CAYNE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 488k–1.1M
best case 20.7M (Path of Exile)
Games like CAYNE

A typical game among these

≈ 488k–1.1M copies

≈ $4.3M–$5.2M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Path of Exile at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 102k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Isometric (5 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Action RPG + Hack and Slash + MMORPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 1997 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
227k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Curse of the Dead Gods
2021
Est. copies
≈ 229k–373k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeIsometric
POSTAL
1997
Est. copies
≈ 916k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorVillain Protagonist
Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
250k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Dungeons 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 644k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyVillain Protagonist
Exanima
2015
Est. copies
≈ 683k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
PhysicsRPG
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 281k–457k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based Combat
Hatred
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$5.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
GoreViolent

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