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How many copies did [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 80k–130k
$132k–$354k after Steam's cut $239k–$544k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52.2M–110.2M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件

A typical game among these

≈ 52.2M–110.2M copies

≈ $242.0M–$635.6M after Steam's cut

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Physics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (4 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
PBA Pro Bowling
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before Steam's cut
$14.99
188 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsSimulation
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
AVATARIKA
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
214 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySexual Content
The Edge Ball
2018
Est. copies
≈ 213–346
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7 reviews
7 user reviews
CasualPlatformer
Roxy Raccoon's Bowling Bash
2022
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
23 reviews
Positive
Bowling3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.