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How many copies did Rogue Tower sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 147k–239k
$607k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rogue Tower and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Rogue Tower's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 563k–713k
best case 749k (Monster Train)
Games like Rogue Tower

A typical game among these

≈ 563k–713k copies

≈ $4.1M–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 570k–927k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (2 of 3) and Rogue-lite (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Kingdom: New Lands
2016
Est. copies
≈ 516k–839k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite

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