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How many copies did Leningrad sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 595–967
$162–$436 after Steam's cut $295–$670 before Steam's cut
from 24 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Leningrad and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Leningrad's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32k–327k
best case 781k (Sunkenland)
Games like Leningrad

A typical game among these

≈ 32k–327k copies

≈ $174k–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Underwater (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Sunkenland at ≈ 595k–967k copies, ≈ $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 382 reviews in their first month; the range was 30 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Underwater (4 of 8) and Base-Building (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Athanasy
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Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$161k before Steam's cut
$9.99
571 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelText-Based
60 Seconds!
2015
Est. copies
≈ 571k–927k
9.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
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Turn-Based TacticsExploration
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
FAR: Changing Tides
2022
Est. copies
≈ 142k–230k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$778k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericAction-Adventure
Sunkenland
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595k–967k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft
cyberpunkdreams
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Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Free
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1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CyberpunkRPG
Aquatico
2023
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$148k–$399k after Steam's cut $270k–$614k before Steam's cut
$24.99
871 reviews
Mixed
City BuilderStrategy
Surviving the Abyss
2024
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$148k–$397k after Steam's cut $268k–$611k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed

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