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How many copies did Total Conflict: Resistance sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 133k–216k
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Total Conflict: Resistance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Total Conflict: Resistance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.0M–10.9M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Total Conflict: Resistance

A typical game among these

≈ 6.0M–10.9M copies

≈ $101.2M–$188.5M after Steam's cut

from ~244k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 47k to 143k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Third-Person Shooter + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic
BattleBit Remastered
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.2M after Steam's cut $27.2M–$61.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
146k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Ready or Not
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
347k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalRealistic
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.