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How many copies did Antivine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut
from 96 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Antivine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Antivine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 92k–212k
best case 258k (Horizon Zero Dawn™ Remastered)
Games like Antivine

A typical game among these

≈ 92k–212k copies

≈ $809k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Horizon Zero Dawn™ Remastered at ≈ 197k–319k copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 199 reviews in their first month; the range was 48 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Emotional (6 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Female Protagonist, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LOST EMBER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 149k–243k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Remastered
2024
Est. copies
≈ 197k–319k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFemale Protagonist
Arise: A Simple Story
2020
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$437k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $795k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Emotional3D Platformer
Endling - Extinction is Forever
2022
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$748k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
EmotionalAdventure
Dordogne
2023
Est. copies
≈ 40k–66k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$166k–$447k after Steam's cut $302k–$688k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
NarrativeWholesome
Röki
2020
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$440k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $800k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Shelter 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 211k–343k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Aurora: A Child's Journey
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
991 reviews
Very Positive
ActionStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.