How much revenue did Arise: A Simple Story make?

$437k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arise: A Simple Story sell?

Q: How many copies did Arise: A Simple Story sell?

80k to 129k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 80k–129k; $437k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $795k–$1.8M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arise: A Simple Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arise: A Simple Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–1.0M

best case 8.8M (It Takes Two)

Games like Arise: A Simple Story

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–1.0M copies

≈ $1.1M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: It Takes Two at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 830 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Emotional (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $40.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Last Campfire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 516k–839k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Biped 2020	Est. copies ≈ 287k–466k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Character CustomizationEmotional
Chained Together 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	64k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAdventure
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M 28x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Bramble: The Mountain King 2023	Est. copies ≈ 197k–321k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	8k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAdventure
Time Loader: First Memories 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	92 reviews Very Positive	ActionAmerica
Time Loader 2021	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut	$7.99	578 reviews Very Positive	LogicStory Rich
End Gate - The Last Passenger 2024	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut	$4.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	Early AccessExploration