How much revenue did The Last Campfire make?

$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Last Campfire sell?

Q: How many copies did The Last Campfire sell?

516k to 839k copies, based on its 21k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 516k–839k; $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut; from 21k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last Campfire and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Campfire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 591k–1.8M

best case 8.8M (It Takes Two)

Games like The Last Campfire

A typical game among these

≈ 591k–1.8M copies

≈ $1.4M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: It Takes Two at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 16k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Split Screen + Local Co-Op + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	28k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericHistorical
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Seen 2019	Est. copies ≈ 288k–467k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before Steam's cut	$0.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessIndie
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	41k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip 2023	Est. copies ≈ 599k–973k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $657k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$3.99	24k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Puzzle
Sally Face - Episode One 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$2.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story Rich Psychological Horror
Outcore: Desktop Adventure 2022	Est. copies ≈ 457k–743k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	18k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventurePsychological Horror