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How many copies did End Gate - The Last Passenger sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid End Gate - The Last Passenger and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including End Gate - The Last Passenger's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–5.4M
best case 12.4M (Deep Rock Galactic)
Games like End Gate - The Last Passenger

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–5.4M copies

≈ $23.3M–$56.8M after Steam's cut

from ~87k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Base-Building (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dwarf + Co-op, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Dwarf + PvE + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Planet Crafter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$23.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
87k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Stormworks: Build and Rescue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxBase-Building
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Starbound
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.9M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace

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