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How many copies did Swinging-Man sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Swinging-Man and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Swinging-Man's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.6M–10.2M
best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like Swinging-Man

A typical game among these

≈ 7.6M–10.2M copies

≈ $62.0M–$106.0M after Steam's cut

from ~213k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$59.0M–$158.6M after Steam's cut $107.3M–$244.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSuperhero
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.5M–$82.0M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
160k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Circle Tank
2020
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayTanks
Versus Purgatory
2025
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
$0.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Action RoguelikeTop-Down Shooter

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