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How many copies did Paper Bride 3 Unresolved Love sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$69k–$184k after Steam's cut $125k–$284k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paper Bride 3 Unresolved Love and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paper Bride 3 Unresolved Love's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 175k–314k
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Paper Bride 3 Unresolved Love

A typical game among these

≈ 175k–314k copies

≈ $1.4M–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 170 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2.5D + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Indie + 2.5D + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Thank Goodness You're Here!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 211k–344k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureComedy
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
ANTONBLAST
2024
Est. copies
≈ 117k–189k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$641k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D Platformer2D
Wuppo: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Word Game: Episode 0
2021
Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MinimalistIndie
INMOST
2020
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$753k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePixel Graphics

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