How much revenue did The Cub make?

$68k–$183k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Cub sell?

Q: How many copies did The Cub sell?

16k to 27k copies, based on its 664 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 16k–27k; $68k–$183k after Steam's cut $123k–$281k before Steam's cut; from 664 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Cub and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Cub's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 350–9k

best case 57k (Rusted Moss)

Games like The Cub

A typical game among these

≈ 350–9k copies

≈ $1k–$33k after Steam's cut

from ~41 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Rusted Moss at ≈ 43k–71k copies, ≈ $239k–$642k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 508 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Precision Platformer (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Platformer + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rusted Moss 2023	Est. copies ≈ 43k–71k 43x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $239k–$642k after Steam's cut $434k–$988k before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerPixel Graphics
ChronoTecture: The Eprologue 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $69–$182 after Steam's cut $125–$280 before Steam's cut	$9.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	ExplorationFPS
Hans 2023	Est. copies ≈ 20k–32k 19x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut	$4.99	794 reviews Very Positive	DifficultPrecision Platformer
Kandria 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut	$19.99	110 reviews Very Positive	2D PlatformerExploration
Gravity Castle 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut	$14.99	49 reviews Positive	2D PlatformerPuzzle
FlowerRock 2024	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut	$2.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	2D PlatformerExploration
Tears Fall Low 2023	Est. copies ≈ 322–524 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $884–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$9.99	13 reviews Positive	Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Cosmic Pebble 2024	Est. copies ≈ 818–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$4.99	33 reviews Positive	Precision PlatformerPixel Graphics