How much revenue did Cosmic Pebble make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cosmic Pebble sell?

Q: How many copies did Cosmic Pebble sell?

818 to 1k copies, based on its 33 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 818–1k; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 33 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cosmic Pebble and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cosmic Pebble's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–10k

best case 779k (Thomas Was Alone)

Games like Cosmic Pebble

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–10k copies

≈ $11k–$56k after Steam's cut

from ~110 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Thomas Was Alone at ≈ 594k–965k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 54 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 113.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Precision Platformer (8 of 8) and 2D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Platformer + Narration, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Narration + Side Scroller + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Forklift Load 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut	$2.99	156 reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Thomas Was Alone 2012	Est. copies ≈ 594k–965k 85x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	9k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerNarration
Ingression 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut	$9.99	106 reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer Platformer
Beam 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut	$18.99	60 reviews Very Positive	Precision PlatformerSpace
Kandria 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut	$19.99	110 reviews Very Positive	2D PlatformerExploration
Sunblaze 2021	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut	$14.99	485 reviews Very Positive	RetroSuperhero
On Rusty Trails 2016	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut	$14.99	267 reviews Very Positive	IndiePlatformer
Frebbventure 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut	$12.99	58 reviews Very Positive	Precision PlatformerSide Scroller