Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did On Rusty Trails sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut
from 267 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid On Rusty Trails and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including On Rusty Trails's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–16k
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like On Rusty Trails

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–16k copies

≈ $58k–$111k after Steam's cut

from ~444 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 277 reviews in their first month; the range was 236 to 399.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $955k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
Lumione
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$160k before Steam's cut
$11.99
472 reviews
Mostly Positive
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
336x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ball at Work: The Ultimate Speedrun Platformer!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
419 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPrecision Platformer
Rolled Out!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$61k–$163k after Steam's cut $110k–$250k before Steam's cut
$19.99
444 reviews
Very Positive
Leap Year
2024
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPrecision Platformer
1 Screen Platformer
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$2.99
429 reviews
Very Positive
Knytt Underground
2013
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$60k–$161k after Steam's cut $109k–$247k before Steam's cut
$6.99
492 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.