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How many copies did Sunblaze sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut
from 485 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sunblaze and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sunblaze's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 218k–1.0M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Sunblaze

A typical game among these

≈ 218k–1.0M copies

≈ $2.0M–$28.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Female Protagonist (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 30 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (4 of 8) and Precision Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Marvel's Spider-Man 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$52.9M after Steam's cut $35.7M–$81.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSuperhero
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LEGO® Marvel Super Heroes 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 354k–575k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
LEGOMultiplayer
Hot Lava
2019
Est. copies
≈ 178k–289k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
They Bleed Pixels
2012
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $806k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerDifficult
Marvel vs. Capcom: Infinite
2017
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
3k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
League of Maidens®
2025
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mixed
NudityMature
BLOWFLY2:OVERLIMIT
2024
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$3.99
38 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller

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