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How many copies did They Bleed Pixels sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 161k–262k
$443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $806k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid They Bleed Pixels and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including They Bleed Pixels's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–3.1M
best case 2.9M (Katana ZERO)
Games like They Bleed Pixels

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–3.1M copies

≈ $14.8M–$25.7M after Steam's cut

from ~65k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Gore (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Katana ZERO at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 187 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Gore (4 of 8) and Lovecraftian (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
Madshot: Road to Madness
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$2.99
57 reviews
Mixed
GoreShooter
CARRION
2020
Est. copies
≈ 895k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
Marrow
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$9.99
61 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction
Katana ZERO
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction
Elderand
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$112k–$302k after Steam's cut $204k–$465k before Steam's cut
$19.99
824 reviews
Mostly Positive
Madshot
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$161k before Steam's cut
$19.99
286 reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerLovecraftian

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