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How many copies did Marrow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
from 61 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Marrow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Marrow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–4.3M
best case 12.1M (People Playground)
Games like Marrow

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–4.3M copies

≈ $14.3M–$31.0M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Gore (8 of 8) and Violent (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + Moddable + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Paint the Town Red
2021
Est. copies
≈ 810k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GoreBlood
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackGore
CARRION
2020
Est. copies
≈ 895k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
Madshot: Road to Madness
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$2.99
57 reviews
Mixed
GoreShooter
Mortal Kombat 1
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.5M after Steam's cut $30.8M–$70.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
50k reviews
Mostly Positive
FightingAction
Mortal Kombat 11
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
116k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
Mortal Kombat X
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore

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