How much revenue did CARRION make?

$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did CARRION sell?

Q: How many copies did CARRION sell?

895k to 1.5M copies, based on its 36k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 895k–1.5M; $4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut; from 36k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CARRION and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CARRION's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 128k–155k

best case 907k (Garfield Kart)

Games like CARRION

A typical game among these

≈ 128k–155k copies

≈ $767k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Villain Protagonist (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Garfield Kart at ≈ 691k–1.1M copies, ≈ $948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Villain Protagonist (3 of 8) and Violent (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Cult Classic + Combat Racing, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Gore + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Garfield Kart 2015	Est. copies ≈ 691k–1.1M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Party Hard 2015	Est. copies ≈ 619k–1.0M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsStealth
POSTAL Redux 2016	Est. copies ≈ 345k–560k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $852k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$8.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpMultiplayer
Zombie Night Terror 2016	Est. copies ≈ 167k–271k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $597k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	4k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesStrategy
Party Hard 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 102k–166k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $561k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieViolent
Police Stories 2019	Est. copies ≈ 281k–456k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ActionStrategy
Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 93k–151k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayCasual
Dungeon Warfare 2015	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $271k–$729k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy