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How many copies did Thomas Was Alone sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 594k–965k
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thomas Was Alone and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thomas Was Alone's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 92k–847k
best case 5.4M (BattleBlock Theater®)
Games like Thomas Was Alone

A typical game among these

≈ 92k–847k copies

≈ $444k–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BattleBlock Theater® at ≈ 4.1M–6.6M copies, ≈ $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 142 reviews in their first month; the range was 84 to 168.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hue
2016
Est. copies
≈ 474k–770k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Nihilumbra
2013
Est. copies
≈ 190k–308k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$417k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $758k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
ICEY
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
A Juggler's Tale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$287k–$772k after Steam's cut $522k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericFantasy
Songs for a Hero - Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 185k–301k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerAdventure
Creepy Tale
2020
Est. copies
≈ 74k–120k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$101k–$273k after Steam's cut $185k–$420k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerDark
Lost Words: Beyond the Page
2021
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$86k–$230k after Steam's cut $156k–$354k before Steam's cut
$14.99
837 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPuzzle-Platformer

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