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How many copies did Creepy Tale sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74k–120k
$101k–$273k after Steam's cut $185k–$420k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Creepy Tale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Creepy Tale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–38k
best case 202k (Creaks)
Games like Creepy Tale

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–38k copies

≈ $161k–$219k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Creaks at ≈ 154k–250k copies, ≈ $845k–$2.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 182 reviews in their first month; the range was 130 to 617.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hand-drawn (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hand-drawn, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Bridge
2013
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$756k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerHand-drawn
LIBERATED
2020
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$119k–$320k after Steam's cut $216k–$492k before Steam's cut
$19.99
872 reviews
Mostly Positive
ConspiracyComic Book
My Memory of Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$143k–$385k after Steam's cut $260k–$592k before Steam's cut
$17.99
952 reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingAction
Raji: An Ancient Epic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 71k–115k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingMythology
Creaks
2020
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$845k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleHand-drawn
Munin
2014
Est. copies
≈ 64k–103k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$87k–$235k after Steam's cut $159k–$361k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle-Platformer
Creepy Tale 3: Ingrid Penance
2023
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$72k–$193k after Steam's cut $131k–$297k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Hand-drawn2D
SILT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleAtmospheric

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.