Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Creepy Tale 3: Ingrid Penance sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 26k–43k
$72k–$193k after Steam's cut $131k–$297k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Creepy Tale 3: Ingrid Penance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Creepy Tale 3: Ingrid Penance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–4.7M
best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Creepy Tale 3: Ingrid Penance

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–4.7M copies

≈ $14.7M–$33.6M after Steam's cut

from ~69k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Female Protagonist (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (3 of 8) and Hand-drawn (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Nine Sols
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Skullgirls 2nd Encore
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$37.8M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.