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How many copies did Blacktop Hoops sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$155k–$416k after Steam's cut $282k–$640k before Steam's cut
from 757 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blacktop Hoops and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blacktop Hoops's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 363–3k
best case 6k (VR SUPER SPORTS)
Games like Blacktop Hoops

A typical game among these

≈ 363–3k copies

≈ $647–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~18 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: VR SUPER SPORTS at ≈ 4k–7k copies, ≈ $15k–$40k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 26.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports + VR, priced around $13.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hoops VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$5.99
66 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationSports
Pickup Basketball VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$9.99
77 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsVR
JUST HOOPS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
17 reviews
Positive
SportsVR
VTB Basketball League VR
2019
Est. copies
≈ 547–889
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationBasketball
VR SUPER SPORTS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut
$12.99
122 reviews
Mixed
SportsAction
Nothin' But Net
2018
Est. copies
≈ 213–346
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$292–$786 after Steam's cut $531–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
SportsVR
Basketball Madness
2020
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
CasualSports
Rezzil Player
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut
$4.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
SimulationSports

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