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How many copies did Reindeer Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Reindeer Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reindeer Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–6k
best case 12k (Mission in Snowdriftland)
Games like Reindeer Story

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–6k copies

≈ $4k–$18k after Steam's cut

from ~77 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mission in Snowdriftland at ≈ 9k–15k copies, ≈ $17k–$46k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 153.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and Precision Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Platformer, priced around $7.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.5x vs typical
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$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
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3D PlatformerAdventure
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Precision Platformer2D Platformer
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3D PlatformerLocal Co-Op
Mission in Snowdriftland - Snowlogue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
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Free
Free
229 reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerPixel Graphics
Mission in Snowdriftland
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$6.99
361 reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerPlatformer
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≈ 1k–2k
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3D PlatformerExploration
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≈ 843–1k
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Precision PlatformerPixel Graphics
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Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
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Mixed
CasualSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.