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How many copies did Extreme Truck Stunts sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 51 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Extreme Truck Stunts and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Extreme Truck Stunts's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.0M
best case 9.2M (Forza Horizon 5)
Games like Extreme Truck Stunts

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–2.0M copies

≈ $16.7M–$23.8M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 5 at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies, ≈ $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Automobile Sim (8 of 8) and Racing (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Realistic + Open World + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Assetto Corsa Competizione
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDestruction
TrackMania Nations Forever
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
RacingFree to Play
DiRT Rally 2.0
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.