How many copies did Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi) sell?

Q: How many copies did Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi) sell?

23k to 38k copies, based on its 947 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Q: How much revenue did Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi) make?

$161k–$434k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–38k; $161k–$434k after Steam's cut $293k–$667k before Steam's cut; from 947 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 586k–2.2M

best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)

Games like Tales from Toyotoki: Arrival of the Witch (The witch of the Ihanashi)

A typical game among these

≈ 586k–2.2M copies

≈ $1.6M–$33.8M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 14k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Anime (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Find Love or Die Trying 2021	Est. copies ≈ 296k–481k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dating SimVisual Novel
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 584k–949k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$20.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
missed messages. 2019	Est. copies ≈ 448k–728k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayVisual Novel
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 853k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$1.49	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Psychological Horror
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich