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How many copies did Call of Duty®: Black Ops Cold War sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 586k–952k
$9.7M–$26.0M after Steam's cut $17.6M–$40.0M before Steam's cut
from 24k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Call of Duty®: Black Ops Cold War and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Call of Duty®: Black Ops Cold War's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 142k–1.1M
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Call of Duty®: Black Ops Cold War

A typical game among these

≈ 142k–1.1M copies

≈ $340k–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Cold War (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cold War (4 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.5M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut $54.8M–$124.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Call of Duty®: Black Ops
2010
Est. copies
≈ 289k–469k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Wild Animal Racing
2016
Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$124k–$332k after Steam's cut $225k–$511k before Steam's cut
$3.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentCold War
Save Jesus
2016
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$129k–$347k after Steam's cut $235k–$535k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MemesIlluminati
b
2017
Est. copies
≈ 145k–235k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeStory Rich
Military Conflict: Vietnam
2022
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$239k–$643k after Steam's cut $435k–$989k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessFPS

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