How much revenue did Dark Notes make?

$7k–$19k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dark Notes sell?

Q: How many copies did Dark Notes sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 132 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut; from 132 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Notes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Notes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 671k–1.9M

best case 4.6M (MiSide)

Games like Dark Notes

A typical game among these

≈ 671k–1.9M copies

≈ $3.4M–$12.3M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: MiSide at ≈ 3.5M–5.8M copies, ≈ $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 64k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Cute + 3D + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
MiSide 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.8M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	143k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological HorrorCute
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
We Were Here Together 2019	Est. copies ≈ 512k–831k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$12.99	18k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleOnline Co-Op
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG
港詭實錄ParanormalHK 2020	Est. copies ≈ 510k–829k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	21k reviews Very Positive	HorrorSexual Content