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How many copies did Rally 9000 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$750–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rally 9000 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rally 9000's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–1.9M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Rally 9000

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–1.9M copies

≈ $19.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Driving (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Need for Speed™ Unbound
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$29.0M–$77.9M after Steam's cut $52.7M–$119.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
61k reviews
Mixed
RacingMultiplayer
The Long Drive
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before Steam's cut
$15.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
DrivingOpen World
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
26x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Steep™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$31.0M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
SportsOpen World
City Car Driving
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$42.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDriving

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