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How many copies did Smoothcade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$762–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Smoothcade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Smoothcade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k
best case 35k (Ball laB)
Games like Smoothcade

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $5k–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~90 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Ball laB at ≈ 27k–43k copies, ≈ $7k–$19k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 38 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 69.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Side Scroller + Precision Platformer, priced around $1. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Casual + Perma Death; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OCO
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$4.99
90 reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Jet Kave Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut
$14.99
135 reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerSide Scroller
Murtop
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$4.99
90 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade
Ball laB II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$693–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$2.99
34 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
FLATLAND Vol.1
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
59 reviews
Very Positive
Ball laB
2018
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
9.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$0.99
875 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
The Deletion
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$1.99
228 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Bauhaus Bonk
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$7.99
81 reviews
Very Positive
Precision PlatformerPuzzle-Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.