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How many copies did Ball laB sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–43k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
from 875 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ball laB and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ball laB's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–15k
best case 356k (Deepest Sword)
Games like Ball laB

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–15k copies

≈ $20k–$45k after Steam's cut

from ~351 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Deepest Sword at ≈ 271k–441k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 170 reviews in their first month; the range was 130 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Side Scroller, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Metroidvania + Exploration + Action-Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
E.Z
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$1.99
245 reviews
Very Positive
Splodey
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before Steam's cut
$12.99
255 reviews
Very Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Schein
2014
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$4.99
330 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
The Strongest TOFU
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
$4.99
371 reviews
Very Positive
ActionSide Scroller
Deepest Sword
2021
Est. copies
≈ 271k–441k
31x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
Symphonia
2024
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55k–$147k after Steam's cut $99k–$226k before Steam's cut
$19.99
400 reviews
Very Positive
1 Screen Platformer
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$2.99
429 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.