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How many copies did Old Retro Shooter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$61k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
from 45 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Old Retro Shooter and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Old Retro Shooter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 352k (ALTF4)
Games like Old Retro Shooter

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $493–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~64 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 6 similar games are hits.

Best case: ALTF4 at ≈ 268k–435k copies, ≈ $220k–$592k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 6k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 6) and Survival (3 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Runner + Physics, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Runner + Physics + 3D Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 6 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ALTF4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
169x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut
$2.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
RunnerPhysics
Pixel Piracy
2014
Est. copies
≈ 412k–669k
115x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeSandbox
Abiko The Miko
2020
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
$7.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Action RoguelikeExploration
Cube Worlds Survival
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$284–$762 after Steam's cut $516–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
42 reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World
Spellbound Survivors
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$4.99
96 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Cursed Crew
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $21k–$49k before Steam's cut
$20.00
86 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSurvival

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