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How many copies did Eva:Final Mission sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 84 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Eva:Final Mission and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Eva:Final Mission's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 62k–202k
best case 340k (SULFUR)
Games like Eva:Final Mission

A typical game among these

≈ 62k–202k copies

≈ $302k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (1 of 3), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: SULFUR at ≈ 259k–421k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 581 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (1 of 3) and Action RPG (1 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + FPS, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 3 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

From Space
2022
Est. copies
≈ 48k–79k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$200k–$537k after Steam's cut $363k–$825k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ActionCo-op
SULFUR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
The Walking Dead: Saints & Sinners - Chapter 2: Retribution
2023
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$128k–$343k after Steam's cut $232k–$528k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mixed
VRAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.