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How big is Mysterious School?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 47k–77k
from 2k reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mysterious School and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mysterious School's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–183k
best case 534k (Detention)
Games like Mysterious School

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–183k copies

≈ $433k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Detention at ≈ 407k–661k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 786 reviews in their first month; the range was 504 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (5 of 8) and Psychological Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Puzzle + Great Soundtrack + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Detention
2017
Est. copies
≈ 407k–661k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$11.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
1000xRESIST
2024
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$962k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistThriller
Martha Is Dead
2022
Est. copies
≈ 98k–159k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$809k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Alone in the Dark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Psychological HorrorLovecraftian
OXENFREE II: Lost Signals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 52k–84k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$284k–$762k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ThrillerSupernatural
Folie Fatale
2024
Est. copies
≈ 67k–109k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$110k–$296k after Steam's cut $200k–$455k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistOtome
The Chrono Jotter
2021
Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$186k–$501k after Steam's cut $339k–$771k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelIndie
The Park®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$557k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.