How much revenue did OXENFREE II: Lost Signals make?

$284k–$762k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did OXENFREE II: Lost Signals sell?

Q: How many copies did OXENFREE II: Lost Signals sell?

52k to 84k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 52k–84k; $284k–$762k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OXENFREE II: Lost Signals and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OXENFREE II: Lost Signals's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 252k–569k

best case 5.0M (Alan Wake)

Games like OXENFREE II: Lost Signals

A typical game among these

≈ 252k–569k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Alan Wake at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $15.7M–$42.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and Mystery (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Mortuary Assistant 2022	Est. copies ≈ 219k–356k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Very Positive	HorrorSupernatural
The Rewinder 2021	Est. copies ≈ 183k–297k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $754k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureMystery
Oxenfree 2016	Est. copies ≈ 504k–820k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Story RichChoices Matter
Ghost Exorcism INC. 2021	Est. copies ≈ 135k–219k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$11.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
The Painscreek Killings 2017	Est. copies ≈ 221k–358k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	InvestigationMystery
Alan Wake 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M 7.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.7M–$42.1M after Steam's cut $28.5M–$64.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	60k reviews Very Positive	ActionHorror
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
Alan Wake's American Nightmare 2012	Est. copies ≈ 688k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$8.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure