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How many copies did Underwater battles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 372–605
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 15 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Underwater battles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Underwater battles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 554–847
best case 4k (Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep)
Games like Underwater battles

A typical game among these

≈ 554–847 copies

≈ $1k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~23 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep at ≈ 3k–5k copies, ≈ $6k–$17k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 19.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Physics, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Physics + Family Friendly + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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too small to compare
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CasualMatch 3
Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep
2016
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3.4x vs typical
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Match 3Puzzle
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CasualPuzzle
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Hidden ObjectCasual
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