How much revenue did Tashikani make?

$463–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tashikani sell?

Q: How many copies did Tashikani sell?

422 to 685 copies, based on its 17 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 422–685; $463–$1k after Steam's cut $842–$2k before Steam's cut; from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tashikani and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tashikani's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 374–798

best case 4k (Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep)

Games like Tashikani

A typical game among these

≈ 374–798 copies

≈ $1k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~17 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep at ≈ 3k–5k copies, ≈ $6k–$17k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 19.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Physics, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Physics + Female Protagonist + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Jewel Match Aquascapes 2 Collector's Edition 2023	Est. copies ≈ 570–927 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut	$13.99	23 reviews Positive	CasualMatch 3
Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut	$6.99	78 reviews Very Positive	CasualIndie
Water Ball 2021	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$9.99	17 reviews Mixed	CasualMatch 3
Otteretto 2022	Est. copies ≈ 794–1k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $653–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$2.99	32 reviews Positive	Match 3Puzzle
Jewel Match Aquascapes Collector's Edition 2023	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$12.99	26 reviews Positive	Hidden ObjectCasual
FishWitch Halloween 2021	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $544–$1k after Steam's cut $989–$2k before Steam's cut	$9.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	CasualPuzzle
Aqua Marbles - Ocean 2023	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $382–$1k after Steam's cut $695–$2k before Steam's cut	$7.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	CasualMatch 3
Underwater battles 2022	Est. copies ≈ 372–605 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut	$39.99	15 reviews Mixed	Match 3Casual