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How many copies did Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 61k–99k
$668k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.3M
best case 3.3M (Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011))
Games like Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.3M copies

≈ $35.9M–$51.1M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011) at ≈ 2.5M–4.1M copies, ≈ $27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 5) and Shooter (5 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2016. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 52 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Duty®: Ghosts
2014
Est. copies
≈ 120k–196k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
DogFPS
Call of Duty®: Advanced Warfare - Gold Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$15.8M–$42.4M after Steam's cut $28.7M–$65.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
26k reviews
Mixed
DogFPS
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011)
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 3 (2011)
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
30k reviews
Mixed
ActionFPS

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