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How many copies did Block Fortress 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$38k–$103k after Steam's cut $69k–$158k before Steam's cut
from 280 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Block Fortress 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Block Fortress 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 185k–2.3M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Block Fortress 2

A typical game among these

≈ 185k–2.3M copies

≈ $9.7M–$25.6M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 230 to 35k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Survival + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
244x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
STAR WARS™ Battlefront II (Classic, 2005)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$39.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Very Positive
ActionMultiplayer
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.4M after Steam's cut $49.7M–$113.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerShooter
3D Aim Trainer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
Early Accesse-sports
Deadside
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Vigor
2024
Est. copies
≈ 199k–324k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mixed
Looter ShooterMultiplayer
Military Conflict: Vietnam
2022
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$239k–$643k after Steam's cut $435k–$989k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessFPS
Double Action: Boogaloo
2014
Est. copies
≈ 639k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction

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