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How many copies did Tarot for Storytelling sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tarot for Storytelling and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tarot for Storytelling's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 900k–3.7M
best case 5.9M (Blender)
Games like Tarot for Storytelling

A typical game among these

≈ 900k–3.7M copies

≈ $11.4M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blender at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 315 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software (7 of 8) and Game Development (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Animation & Modeling + Software.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Blender
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≈ 4.5M–7.3M
3.4x vs typical
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too small to compare
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SoftwareBoard Game

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