How much revenue did Aseprite make?

$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Aseprite sell?

Q: How many copies did Aseprite sell?

1.1M to 1.8M copies, based on its 27k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.8M; $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut; from 27k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aseprite and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Aseprite's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 293–5.0M

best case 6.7M (Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition)

Games like Aseprite

A typical game among these

≈ 293–5.0M copies

≈ $377–$333k after Steam's cut

from ~852 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 6 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (2 of 6), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 58k reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (2 of 6) and Automobile Sim (2 of 6).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Automobile Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 5 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M 241x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	205k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 240x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	204k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $181k–$486k after Steam's cut $329k–$747k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MemesPixel Graphics
Date Night Bowling 2021	Est. copies ≈ 446–725 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$9.99	18 reviews Positive	Dating SimBowling
Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party! 2025	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut	$4.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	ArcadeCartoony
Phantom 2024	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before Steam's cut	$5.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	RPGCasual