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How many copies did Waking Knightmare sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Waking Knightmare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Waking Knightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.5M–15.1M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Waking Knightmare

A typical game among these

≈ 10.5M–15.1M copies

≈ $121.2M–$130.8M after Steam's cut

from ~300k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (5 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Survival, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Survival + Online Co-Op + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
235k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
224k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.