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How many copies did 4D Golf sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–32k
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut
from 805 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 4D Golf and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 4D Golf's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.2M
best case 2.5M (Golf With Your Friends)
Games like 4D Golf

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.2M copies

≈ $2.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Mini Golf (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Golf With Your Friends at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies, ≈ $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 26k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mini Golf (4 of 8) and Sports (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mini Golf + Sports, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Golf It!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 772k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$8.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerMini Golf
Draw & Guess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 874k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
PartyMultiplayer
Super Hexagon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultGreat Soundtrack
Golf With Your Friends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Escape from the Marble Monster
2023
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$191–$512 after Steam's cut $347–$788 before Steam's cut
$3.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
DifficultPhysics
Graviter
2021
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$382–$1k after Steam's cut $695–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
PhysicsPuzzle
Pocket Mini Golf
2024
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
14 reviews
Positive
CasualSports
Golf: Hole in One
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$150–$401 after Steam's cut $272–$617 before Steam's cut
$1.99
11 reviews
Positive
SportsGolf

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