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How many copies did Infinite Tao sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut
from 885 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Infinite Tao and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Infinite Tao's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–7k
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Infinite Tao

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–7k copies

≈ $5k–$15k after Steam's cut

from ~169 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 140 reviews in their first month; the range was 39 to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Auto Battler (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry 2D + Vampire + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$9.99
241 reviews
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Action RoguelikeAuto Battler
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
1582x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Endless waves survival
2025
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$1.99
212 reviews
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CasualAuto Battler
Nomad Survival
2022
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Battle Grid
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$5.99
230 reviews
Very Positive
MechsBullet Hell
Shadowkin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$6.99
89 reviews
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Centipede Gun
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$2.99
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Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Fight To The Death
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$2.99
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Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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