How much revenue did Ultra Blade make?

$469–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ultra Blade sell?

Q: How many copies did Ultra Blade sell?

570 to 927 copies, based on its 23 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 570–927; $469–$1k after Steam's cut $852–$2k before Steam's cut; from 23 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ultra Blade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ultra Blade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 158k–692k

best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)

Games like Ultra Blade

A typical game among these

≈ 158k–692k copies

≈ $398k–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 590 to 129k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Vampire + 2D + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Halls of Torment 2024	Est. copies ≈ 793k–1.3M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$6.66	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	267k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
SNKRX 2021	Est. copies ≈ 108k–175k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $88k–$238k after Steam's cut $161k–$366k before Steam's cut	$2.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Soulstone Survivors 2025	Est. copies ≈ 668k–1.1M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Nova Drift 2024	Est. copies ≈ 364k–592k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Boneraiser Minions 2023	Est. copies ≈ 133k–216k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $183k–$491k after Steam's cut $332k–$756k before Steam's cut	$4.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Dwarven Realms 2024	Est. copies ≈ 91k–147k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $249k–$669k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Yet Another Zombie Survivors 2026	Est. copies ≈ 386k–628k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessAction Roguelike