How much revenue did Moonleap make?

$91k–$244k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Moonleap sell?

Q: How many copies did Moonleap sell?

37k to 60k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 37k–60k; $91k–$244k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Moonleap and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moonleap's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 315k–487k

best case 4.2M (INSIDE)

Games like Moonleap

A typical game among these

≈ 315k–487k copies

≈ $242k–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: INSIDE at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies, ≈ $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Seen 2019	Est. copies ≈ 288k–467k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before Steam's cut	$0.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessIndie
Zup! 2016	Est. copies ≈ 371k–603k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $203k–$546k after Steam's cut $370k–$841k before Steam's cut	$1.99	9k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleCasual
LIMBO 2011	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut	$12.49	62k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Thomas Was Alone 2012	Est. copies ≈ 594k–965k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	9k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerNarration
INSIDE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 8.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Superliminal 2020	Est. copies ≈ 848k–1.4M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	34k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleFirst-Person
Zup! F 2019	Est. copies ≈ 240k–390k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $131k–$353k after Steam's cut $239k–$543k before Steam's cut	$1.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleCasual
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 235k–382k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelEmotional