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How many copies did Pocket Witch sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$651–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 48 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pocket Witch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pocket Witch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 3k (JustAxe)
Games like Pocket Witch

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $4k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~72 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: JustAxe at ≈ 2k–3k copies, ≈ $6k–$16k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 44.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Arcade, priced around $11.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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too small to compare
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.