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How many copies did Smashing Spirits: Brazil's First Boxer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 41 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Smashing Spirits: Brazil's First Boxer and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Smashing Spirits: Brazil's First Boxer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 219k–2.0M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Smashing Spirits: Brazil's First Boxer

A typical game among these

≈ 219k–2.0M copies

≈ $1.3M–$14.9M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (7 of 7) and 2D Platformer (6 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Dustforce DX
2012
Est. copies
≈ 151k–246k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$415k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $755k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Deepest Sword
2021
Est. copies
≈ 271k–441k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
Thomas Was Alone
2012
Est. copies
≈ 594k–965k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerNarration
Jaded
2025
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$72k–$193k after Steam's cut $131k–$297k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer2D Platformer

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