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How many copies did Metal March sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$927–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Metal March and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Metal March's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 42k–265k
best case 749k (Monster Train)
Games like Metal March

A typical game among these

≈ 42k–265k copies

≈ $188k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 570k–927k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 262 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (8 of 8) and Card Game (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wildfrost
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Est. copies
≈ 220k–357k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
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Card BattlerDifficult
Circadian Dice
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before Steam's cut
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606 reviews
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Duelyst
2016
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
Free
5k reviews
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Card BattlerFree to Play
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Yi Xian: The Cultivation Card Game
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Free
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Stormbound
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Turn-Based TacticsCard Battler
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SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$102k–$274k after Steam's cut $185k–$421k before Steam's cut
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DeckbuildingCard Game
Esports Godfather
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Est. copies
≈ 113k–183k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
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$19.99
5k reviews
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StrategyManagement

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